Bitcoin analysis increasingly believes that this cycle’s BTC price lows are done and dusted.
Bitcoin (BTC) consolidated higher on Sep. 15 as analysis described recent BTC price behavior as “textbook.”
Analyst on Bitcoin: “September is not Rektember”
Bitcoin had shrugged off the latest United States macroeconomic data reports the day prior, joining traditional markets in heading higher despite hints that inflation was more stubborn than expected.
Amid a renewed bullish mood, Michaël van de Poppe, founder and CEO of trading firm Eight, was hopeful that BTC/USD would avoid new lows.
“Bitcoin might be able to activate a potential bullish breakout, although we need to make sure that it doesn’t retest the lows again,” he wrote in part of a dedicated post on X (formerly Twitter) on Sep. 14.
Referencing news that Germany’s largest lender, Deutsche Bank, had applied for a crypto custody licence, Van de Poppe eyed $25,000 as a level for bulls to steer the market away from.
“We’ve seen a sweep at $25,000 and should be holding up on higher numbers. In that case, we should be holding $25,600-25,900 as beneath there we’ll see a ton of stops to be activated before we can actually see some movements,” he suggested.
Despite remaining below a cluster of key moving averages (MAs), the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA) continues to act as support — reclaimed in March and an important feature at the start of any bull market.
“I think that the odds of the low to be in on this cycle have increased. Why? Well, we’re again holding above the 200-Week EMA and most likely will be closing above that again for this one,” Van de Poppe continued.
“September is not rektember and seems to be that we’ll be having continuation from here.”
He highlighted $26,800 — the previous day’s high — as the line in the sand to break through.
Wyckoff reveals classic BTC price rebound
Taking an optimistic long-range view, meanwhile, trading resource Stockmoney Lizards likewise concluded that further BTC price upside should come next.
X analysis compared the past year’s price action to an extended “accumulation” phase, using the Wyckoff method.
This describes price cycles of an asset, and correctly identifying the trigger after a swing low, known as the “Spring” in Wyckoff, can reveal the beginning of a new uptrend or a return to a previous higher trading range.
For Stockmoney Lizards, the Spring occurred after BTC/USD bottomed out in late 2022.
“We have seen the spring in January, breakout end of March, and now the second throwback. Textbook Wyckoff behaviour,” it commented.
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